RISK INSIGHTS

A 360-Degree View of Risk

Green Shield has unparalleled in-house expertise and a 360-degree view of risk. Our extensive insurance experience is a key differentiator, enabling us to craft unique solutions and workflows.

Hear from our risk mitigation experts

Green Shield’s Approach to Insuring Catastrophic Risk

Green Shield is taking a unique approach to insuring catastrophic risk. Hear from Head of Risk Mitigation Strategy Gary Raphael about why we are different than anyone else in the property market.

Collaboration & Creative Solutions from the Green Shield Team

Insuring catastrophic risk requires collaboration between the industry and property owners, and creative solutions from industry disruptors like Green Shield. Learn more from Head of Risk Mitigation Strategy Gary Raphael.

How to Protect Your Property from Wildfire Risk

Property owners can protect their properties from wildfire risk, says Green Shield’s Head of Wildfire Insights & Mitigation Paul Brady. Hear his advice on what you can do to reduce your exposure.

Green Shield’s Wildfire Experts Understand Wildfire Risk

As a former firefighter, Paul Brady knows the key to mitigating wildfire risk is understanding. Hear how he’s using his experience to educate insureds and the industry in his role as head of Green Shield Wildfire Insights & Mitigation.

A New Approach to Current Market Challenges

Hear from Head of Risk Mitigation Strategy Gary Raphael on how Green Shield is working diligently to overcome the current challenges facing the property insurance market.

Simple Ways to Reduce Wildfire Risk

Small things matter when it comes to reducing wildfire risk, says Green Shield’s Head of Wildfire Insights & Mitigation Paul Brady.


Q&A with Our Risk Mitigation Experts

Gary Raphael

  • We're clearly in an environment where the insurance industry is increasingly perplexed by the challenge of natural disasters and climate change. What Green Shield aspires to do is build new solutions to meet that need. Where other people see obstacles that are tough to break through, Green Shield is really working very diligently to figure out ways to push them aside. I love the energy that comes with being surgically focused on a mission that's disruptive.

  • There’s no question that we live in a world of heavier rain, more severe drought, rising water levels, colder temperatures, hotter temperatures – these all add up to a level of activity that is not only more frequent, but is more violent. You don't need to be an actuary to understand that.

    Then what we've seen economically in terms of the dynamic nature of material costs, and labor costs and construction costs to replace damaged or lost structures only elevates the problem. And that issue becomes even more problematic when you're dealing with a large-scale event.

    Catastrophes, as we talk about in the insurance space, have all the natural dynamics but then there’s the collateral influence of inflation, and cost creep, and it makes it a really complicated issue for the industry. I think the industry feels at times like it’s constrained in its ability to accurately charge for all of those elements. It becomes a bit of a vicious cycle.

  • Property owners are quick to dismiss the growing body of evidence that it's not a matter of if but when you and/or your property will be directly affected by some kind of a catastrophe event. Property owners need to understand the realities of their risks and they also need to be actively participating in defending what they own and care about. If I, as a risk management technician, care more about protecting their property, there's some kind of imbalance to the equation.

  • A historical pain point has been this seemingly endless reliance on what I would describe as antiquated techniques for evaluating exposure to a natural disaster at the property level. My experience too often has been that underwriters are viewing entire geographies as being off limits to their underwriting appetite. Or a property is deemed uninsurable based exclusively on a risk score that doesn’t shed any light on how it was formulated. It's a number, and as a consequence of that number the property has been deemed uninsurable – the carrier has made the decision from an underwriting standpoint to move on.

    In essence, the industry is using scores and models more broadly to really avoid risk and not manage it. And I think that's where Green Shield is trying to change the paradigm. There's so much granular, impactful data to be able to tap into to draw more insightful conclusions from.

  • Green Shield is very assertive about our desire to lead with risk mitigation and risk transparency. We are first and foremost developing the insight tools that modern cat underwriting requires and we're bringing those into the broader property casualty marketplace – not just for our own advantage, but for the advantage of the marketplace more broadly.

    We will be offering our skills and capabilities to not just our underwriting team, but eventually to people who are anxious to have a better understanding of how to underwrite property, no matter who they're affiliated with.

    In the meantime, Green Shield has established a wholesale operation that connects retail agents who have hard-to-place property locations with markets that remain committed to those kinds of risks. And we're also actively working on creating our own capacity to help those homeowners in disaster prone parts of the country to secure coverage.

    But at the heart of all of that is the ability to interpret real risk and prescribe preventative measures in an in-depth way that that nobody else can. We believe that insights – a deep level of insights – are essential to better underwriting. And our special sauce is the ability to coalesce around an opinion or a view of risk based on the interpretation of the data that we collect by people who are experts in the space that we're examining.

  • We are tapping into resources in this space that are not typically utilized. That's particularly acute for wildfire, which is a challenging thing to understand and to predict where it may go based on characteristics.

    We are knee deep in that process, trying to develop from a logical perspective and from a data perspective how to best position ourselves to be able to accomplish just that. To be able to not just track the dynamics on the ground, but also understand how those dynamics will influence the direction of the wildfire and therefore, how do we stay ahead of it? And how do we keep our clients apprised? And how do we know or assure them that something may or may not come their way?

  • By aspiring to get down to the property level – that's the that's the trick. If we can get those insights, we can then create a prescriptive collaborative approach to properties and promote the likelihood that they will survive whatever they are exposed to.

    That practicality lends itself to being taken seriously by the property owner and getting the property owner to proactively engage and prepare. We will shed light not only on what needs to be fixed, but we'll also take this a step further and offer suggestions on just exactly how to fix them and reduce the risk to everybody's satisfaction.

Head of Risk Mitigation Strategy

Paul Brady

Head of Wildfire Insights and Mitigation

  • I really want to bring transparency and help the industry understand wildfire risk beyond just a risk score. That means looking at fire characteristics like flame length, the rate of spread, and how to mitigate those things.

    That’s how the fire service does it, but within the insurance sector, they just place the National Fire Protection Agency [NFPA] standards across all structures. Those standards are good, but when you're evaluating how risky is this property, the standards don't help because the evaluation of the property and what standards should be in place are two different things.

    How those commingle is not done well within the insurance industry, and that leaves a black box for the underwriter or for the loss control consultant who goes onsite to understand how risky this property is. We need to be asking what would a fire do if it burned here? And how do you make that transparent to the insured and to the underwriter? When I was approached by Green Shield and they said they wanted to lead with transparency, I saw it as an opportunity to bring something into the market that's not here. I was really excited to do it.

  • A lot of insurance carriers are pulling out wildfire-prone states because of a lack of understanding of how to navigate wildfire risk. And it’s becoming more challenging with climate change causing these wildfires to happen all over.

    When you are only using a risk score to insure properties, and you start getting terrible losses from major fires in places with great risk scores, you start losing faith in the products that you have to help you navigate wildfire risk. That's when it really starts changing and you really start reevaluating if you know how to write wildfire risk within these states.

    If you don’t believe in your product, the only other option you have is to pull out of these states, especially if you can’t charge the right premiums or the clients won’t pay the premiums that you think you deserve. It’s going to continue to get more challenging; it’s not getting easier, and it's not something that the insurance industry is prepared for and prepared to understand.

  • No, I don’t think it’s going to be uninsurable. What I think it’s going to need is a lot more transparency, especially for the carrier and the insured. Carriers need to understand the wildfire risk for a particular property, the drivers of what would happen if a wildfire unfolded on this property, and how long is this property exposed for – taking seasonality into effect. Understanding all the factors that go into what would propagate a wildfire, or how would that fire propagate, and what would that look like? What mitigation can we put in place to safeguard this property? You would get a lot more insights with that information than just a score.

    By being able to actually understand wildfire to the degree of what a firefighter would understand it, you can start navigating wildfire risk intelligently, not just feel like you're shooting in the dark.

    The technology has to come further for us to continue to insure wildfire risk in areas that are high wildfire risk. But it will be insurable, it's just who's going to get to that point first, who's going to get to the point of understanding the wildfire risk as a firefighter would.

  • Green Shield is using top-tier technology as well as top-tier experience – it's not just a technology portion, it’s not just an experience portion. Some companies just have the experience, some companies just have the technology, we're bringing the two together.

    We're using the best technology that we can get our hands on to understand wildfire risk in depth. We're using multiple up-to-date models. We're using advanced aerial imagery to understand what the vegetation in that area is like today because the vegetation four years ago when Google Earth snapped the shot of it doesn't really help, and the vegetation is everchanging.

    And then we are also putting expertise around that as well to understand what is the wildfire risk around this property, and what mitigations efforts can be done to make a bad property better or make a good property even better than what it is.

  • This could be attacked by both the insured and the carrier themselves partnering together and building a true partnership. The one thing I noticed when I went into the commercial sector is the partnerships on these huge commercial accounts. That partnership was almost flawless.

    But when it comes to residential property owners, it's a little more touchy because it's not a commercial property. It's my home. It's my safe place.

    So, understanding from the insured’s perspective that this is a partnership – you want that insurance, and you want to build a good partnership with your carrier. And then from the carrier perspective, seeking and finding those partnerships with people that don’t want to lose their home and want to do everything in their power to mitigate their risks.

    The industry can do better when it comes to mitigation education, because that really opens up the door for someone like me, or someone else in-house within the insurance carrier, to have a safe conversation with an insured without feeling like we're stepping on their toes, or that we're invading their safe place. But instead, together we’re protecting their property.

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Learn about our proactive approach to prevent and protect properties against catastrophic loss